Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001248 0.001330 0.001415 0.001512 0.001617 0.001730 0.001859
2025-11-16 0.001129 0.001251 0.001386 0.001547 0.001735 0.001949 0.002214
2025-11-23 0.001056 0.001206 0.001378 0.001592 0.001856 0.002174 0.002591
2025-11-30 0.000984 0.001148 0.001344 0.001597 0.001920 0.002328 0.002895
2025-12-07 0.000909 0.001080 0.001287 0.001563 0.001929 0.002407 0.003101
2025-12-14 0.000852 0.001027 0.001244 0.001540 0.001944 0.002491 0.003318
2025-12-21 0.000799 0.000974 0.001197 0.001507 0.001940 0.002544 0.003494
2025-12-28 0.000729 0.000897 0.001112 0.001415 0.001847 0.002462 0.003454
2026-01-04 0.000684 0.000849 0.001062 0.001369 0.001813 0.002461 0.003536
2026-01-11 0.000654 0.000819 0.001036 0.001353 0.001821 0.002521 0.003719
2026-01-18 0.000630 0.000796 0.001017 0.001345 0.001839 0.002595 0.003935
2026-01-25 0.000649 0.000832 0.001081 0.001460 0.002051 0.002995 0.004768
2026-02-01 0.000625 0.000809 0.001064 0.001458 0.002087 0.003124 0.005154
2026-02-08 0.000598 0.000781 0.001037 0.001441 0.002100 0.003217 0.005493
2026-02-15 0.000586 0.000774 0.001041 0.001470 0.002191 0.003456 0.006175
2026-02-22 0.000568 0.000756 0.001027 0.001472 0.002233 0.003613 0.006717
2026-03-01 0.000542 0.000727 0.000996 0.001441 0.002218 0.003659 0.007017
2026-03-08 0.000522 0.000703 0.000971 0.001420 0.002218 0.003733 0.007400
2026-03-15 0.000500 0.000678 0.000942 0.001390 0.002198 0.003765 0.007687
2026-03-22 0.000467 0.000635 0.000884 0.001309 0.002077 0.003579 0.007377
2026-03-29 0.000446 0.000608 0.000851 0.001267 0.002029 0.003539 0.007452
2026-04-05 0.000432 0.000592 0.000834 0.001253 0.002030 0.003605 0.007829
2026-04-12 0.000420 0.000579 0.000821 0.001245 0.002045 0.003700 0.008311